We have reached the final race of the year and it is the Great Granddaddy of them all the Florida State Cyclocross Championships!
The final weekend of racing in the FLCX Series showed us who is hot and who is not heading into Dade City. Like most things in the world the Power Rankings are constantly in flux and one bad weekend can change the rankings lickety-split. It is also important to remember that the Power Rankings are based on individual performance within your respective category. So, just because you are a fast cat 1/2 doesn’t mean you will always be high on the most important list in Florida Cyclocross. Last week’s ranking were all about series standings. This week’s standings are all about who’s gonna win at States, but bear in mind that we have to assume that some crazy sandbagger action doesn’t happen, which is, of course, completely delusional- it’s a State Championship Jersey, there’s always going to be sandbaggers.
So, without further ado, here are your Power Rankings/Prognostications for the State Championships:
2012/13 FLCX Power Rankings: State Championship
Cat 3 | Ed Dunne (Cycle Logic) |
Ed completely dominated the most competitive field in Florida Cyclocross with two impressive wins, handling everything 352 Racing could throw at him on the toughest courses of the season in Clermont with relative ease. Super smooth, and deadly efficient, Ed should be your winner on Sunday, and an immediate force in the 60 minute race next season.
W123 | Laura Parsons (Rose Bandits) |
Has a state championship waiting for her, assuming that Brooke Rich hasn’t been in her fortress of solitude, doing secret training, meditating and gathering her evil forces to make one huge push to salvage something out of the wreckage of her 2012/2013 season. So far, no other woman has even been close to beating Laura this year, so I’m thinking that this one is a reasonably safe bet.
M35 | Jack Rich (Infinity) |
We haven’t seen Jack since Day 1 at Swamp Cross, other than some at-work hijinks…
image stolen from Jack’s facebook.
…so it’s anyone’s guess how he’s riding at the moment, but it’s hard to envision a scenario where he doesn’t win on Sunday, assuming, of course, he shows up. He’s been completely dominating this season, winning every race he showed up for.
M45 | Scotty Graham (West Coast Cycling)
Won by a clear 3min on Saturday and 25sec on Sunday. Favorite for the title. Has actually been training, I’ve seen him getting what he thought were secret training miles in, so he’s peaking at the right time. Is racing a category that is pretty susceptible to crazy fast dudes coming out of the woodwork, however.
M55 | Dan Sullivan (West Coast Cycling)
Dan’s been pretty dominant this year, and Dade City isn’t too far from his Tampa Bay area home, so as long as he shows up, he should win. Having said that, M55 got more competitive every week, with more and more racers almost every weekend, so there’s no telling who might show up.
Cat1/2 | Josh Thornton (St. Pete Bike and Fitness)
Thornton finally made his FLCX series debut, and dominated everyone as comprehensively as Eric Stubbs dominated the previous 4 races. Josh is a favorite for the title on his home turf, maybe the surest bet of the weekend, although if Ryan Woodall (Team Top Gear) or Drew Edsal (Felt MTB) show up it could get interesting, and Stubbs should provide more of a challenge on the presumably less technical course in Dade City as well.
Single Speed | Eric Stubbs (352 Racing)
Single Speed has been all over the place this season which is probably how it should be, so this race is difficult to pick. Stubbs won 3 of the races, so he’s probably as close to a favourite as exists, but there’s no telling what will happen on Sunday, who will show up, who will take it seriously, and who will screw it up for the rest of the guys. That there will be at least one guy from 352 Racing on the podium is all but a foregone conclusion, however.
Women 4 | Amy Plotkin (Rose Bandits)
I’m going out on a limb on this one, as Amy has only done one cross race in her life, but that race was the very difficult Clermont CX Gran Prix Day 2, and she won that one, leading it from wire to wire. This gives me confidence in her.
Men 4 | IMPOSSIBLE TO PICK
The Cat 4 race at States could be won by literally any sandbagger, and the guy who wins it will almost certainly be a sandbagger. I’d be stoked if a legit Cat 4 guy won it, believe me, but I don’t think it’s happened in several years, so I see no reason to believe this year will be any different. We’ve had almost 100 different guys race in the 4′s this year, which is tremendous, hopefully ALL of them show up in Dade City and we have a huge battle royale.
Junior 10-14 | Lochlan Hovius (AAA)
A Stone Cold Lead Pipe Take it to the Bank Certain LOCK to win the Junior 10-14. Lochlan is lethal on the race course.
NOTABLE RIDERS WITH A SHOT AT WINNING
Graham Partain (352 Racing p/b Bikes and More) | Cat3, SS, 35+
Wins the Single Speed race on Sunday and does the Cat3 race for the first time all year. Has been on the M35 podium quite a bit this year. Hard to say what category he’ll race in Dade City, but he’ll be competitive no matter which one it is.
Taylor Norton (Orange State Cycling) | M3, SS
Taylor might be the thinking man’s outsider bet this weekend. A course that’s not super technical that requires decent power is right up his alley. Of course 352 will be throwing the kitchen sink at him, but he’s riding very well right now.
Chase Tennyson (352 Racing) | M3
Chase Crash from @CrossCopter on Vimeo.
OW OW OW OW OW OW OW OW. Still, you have to respect his speed and finesse. Well, his speed, anyway.
Jennifer Talley (U/A) | W4
Hailing from Destin, FL and making countless seven hour drives with her gang of gulf coast friends she has dabbled in the 1/2Open fields and has shown to be a racer for the future.
Katharine Adams (U/A) | W4
Katharine has a long list of podiums this season in her first season of CX, maybe Dade City will see her break through to the top step.